Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002222 0.002349 0.002484 0.002638 0.002811 0.002999 0.003222
2025-02-02 0.002028 0.002205 0.002402 0.002641 0.002928 0.003265 0.003700
2025-02-09 0.001931 0.002144 0.002392 0.002707 0.003108 0.003613 0.004326
2025-02-16 0.001832 0.002066 0.002346 0.002716 0.003208 0.003866 0.004871
2025-02-23 0.001788 0.002045 0.002363 0.002799 0.003407 0.004274 0.005725
2025-03-02 0.001703 0.001966 0.002298 0.002763 0.003433 0.004434 0.006232
2025-03-09 0.001619 0.001882 0.002218 0.002699 0.003409 0.004509 0.006605
2025-03-16 0.001587 0.001863 0.002222 0.002748 0.003555 0.004874 0.007639
2025-03-23 0.001556 0.001842 0.002220 0.002788 0.003689 0.005244 0.008844
2025-03-30 0.001506 0.001792 0.002175 0.002759 0.003708 0.005409 0.009658
2025-04-06 0.001445 0.001726 0.002103 0.002684 0.003643 0.005401 0.010018
2025-04-13 0.001402 0.001680 0.002058 0.002648 0.003638 0.005511 0.010780
2025-04-20 0.001320 0.001582 0.001938 0.002493 0.003426 0.005190 0.010151
2025-04-27 0.001294 0.001560 0.001927 0.002509 0.003515 0.005514 0.011847
2025-05-04 0.001284 0.001560 0.001946 0.002573 0.003698 0.006094 0.015211
2025-05-11 0.001259 0.001538 0.001932 0.002582 0.003781 0.006466 0.018426
2025-05-18 0.001254 0.001542 0.001957 0.002658 0.004003 0.007272 0.026912
2025-05-25 0.001221 0.001507 0.001920 0.002625 0.004001 0.007466 0.031863
2025-06-01 0.001185 0.001465 0.001870 0.002567 0.003939 0.007468 0.035048
2025-06-08 0.001175 0.001460 0.001879 0.002612 0.004103 0.008231 0.059210
2025-06-15 0.001164 0.001453 0.001883 0.002648 0.004254 0.009037 0.133610
2025-06-22 0.001139 0.001426 0.001854 0.002622 0.004259 0.009321 0.275206
2025-06-29 0.001107 0.001387 0.001804 0.002554 0.004158 0.009159 0.338218